A Study on the Development Direction of OTEC in Taiwan
Cheng I Lai /
Researcher
Science &
Technology Policy Research and Information
Center
National Applied
Research Laboratories
1. New trends of global OTEC development
The initial concept in
terms of the exploitation and application of Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion
(OTEC) was derived from J. D’Arsonval, a French physicist, who came up with
power generation by thermal difference between surface ocean and deep ocean in
1881. Though there are multiple applications for OTEC, power generation has
been regarded as the key one for a long time. After the occurrences of oil
crises in 1970s, the research activities relating to OTEC commenced to boom. A
number of countries such as the USA ,
Japan ,
France ,
UK
and India
made efforts one by one on the researches of OTEC power generation, completed many
representative research programs, and established several experimental power plants (Sinoteck Engineering
Consultants, Ltd., 2002a ).
Especially, the USA
under President Carter’s leadership invested considerable expenditures and the
State of Hawaii
seemed to become the global center of conceptual evolution and application associated
with OTEC power generation. However, lots of research projects with respect to OTEC power generation were
terminated worldwide due to the fall of oil price, the high technical risk of
constructing as well as maintaining OTEC power plants, and the inferior economic
competition of OTEC power generation in short-medium term, (Industrial
Technology Research Institute [ITRI], 2006). In recent years, the main development
direction of OTEC in the USA
and Japan
has been switched towards Deep Ocean Water Application (DOWA) in many aspects.
In Taiwan , the
early development of OTEC also focused on power generation. According to the input analysis associated
with domestic R&D projects of OTEC power generation (Lai, 2008) it can be concluded that, in view of project number and
invested R&D expenditure by taking 5 years as an interval, the 1980s is the
growth stage of OTEC R&D in Taiwan, the early 1990s is the prosperity
stage, the late 1990s the decline stage, the early 2000s the dormancy stage,
and the late 2000s the restoration stage. As to the R&D of
OTEC power generation, Taiwan
also encounters above-mentioned technique and economic dilemma. Owing to the
significant success of multi-purpose DOWA in the USA and Japan , the development and
utilization of OTEC is gradually redirected to DOWA as well in Taiwan . In
April 2005, the Executive Yuan approved “the guidelines on the resourced utilization
of deep ocean water and the development policy of industry”. The industry of
deep ocean water (DOW) becomes the core emerging industry which is actively
promoted by the government. The Council for Economic Planning and Development of Executive Yuan
then quickly organized a cross-ministerial group to coordinate and integrate
the relevant agencies to dynamically implement various crucial actions (Lin and
Tsai, 2007). OTEC power generation then turns out to be the secondary. The 2007
Strategic Review Board (SRB) Meeting on Science and
Technology industry held in November 2007 has a more critical influence on the national
development direction of OTEC. This meeting highlighted “Energy technology” and
proposed three topics including energy saving technology, renewable energy
technology, and advanced energy technology. The sub-topic of “Ocean energy
technology” was involved in the topic of advanced energy technology. The briefing
material presented by domestic agency indicated that OTEC power plant “is difficult
to be large-scale and the cost of power generation is against benefit so that
it cannot go on developing. On the contrary, DOW industry has been continuously
growing fast in recent years. As a result, the main development of OTEC power
generation should integrate the multi-purpose DOWA.” The second discussion
guide of the meeting was “the efficiency of OTEC power generation is still low
and any large-scale power plant would face technical problems as well, leading
to the lack of induced benefits. The technique of pumping DOW by means of a small
diameter pipe has been mature and drinking water industry has also been formed.
For incubating and assisting the development of multi-purpose DOWA industry with
high added values, it should keep on conducting the R&D as well as the
innovation of multi-purpose DOWA techniques by 2015.” In addition, foreign
advisors proposed that the development of OTEC power generation was “unpromising,
fundamentally low efficiency”, nearly negating the feasibility of OTEC power
generation.
2. Analysis on the domestic
development direction of OTEC
Due to the limitation
of R&D resources, Taiwan ’s
sci-tech development is always inferior to the advanced countries in Europe , the USA and Japan . Consequently, sci-tech
development direction in Taiwan
also often follows these countries. With USA and Japan regarding DOWA as the main
type of OTEC development, therefore, the national competent authorities of
energy affairs in Taiwan
take a wait-and-see, even doubt attitude towards OTEC power generation. Because
of a different national situation, however, whether Taiwan has to follow the steps of the
USA
and Japan ,
or has better search her own direction is actually worthy of studying more. In
view of energy security, environmental protection, industrial economics and
engineering technique, accordingly, this paper intends to analyze the
advantages and disadvantages of developing either OTEC power generation or DOWA
in Taiwan .
It is expected to clarify a national development direction and to be a viable
reference for domestic various fields.
2.1 Energy
security
Energy is the
driving force for evolution. In light of the oil crises in 1970s and the international
oil price rising
sharply in recent years, it can be realized that human
life and social development are affected strongly by energy. Taiwan ’s indigenous
energy is used to be indigent and the percentage of imported energy is
beyond 98%, leading to a rather low energy supply security. Recently,
prosperous economic growth in China
and India
which have huge population causes the globally great increase of energy demand.
Moreover, fossil fuels such as petroleum and coal have nearly been depleting. Thus,
every country is eager to master energy resources so that Taiwan ’s national
safety suffers an awful threat. Accordingly, the energy security problem is not
merely civil and economic problems, but also a national safety problem. Then it
can be understood that exploiting indigenous energy to reinforce energy
security is one of urgent affairs in Taiwan . For Taiwan without
abundant fossil energy and nuclear energy, the exploitation of renewable energy
is an optimal option to establish an indigenous and independent energy system. The
top requirement for developing OTEC power generation is that the temperature
difference between surface ocean water and deep ocean water should be 20 ℃ or
higher. The temperature of ocean water at the depth of 1,000 meters is in the
range of 0 ℃ to5 ℃, therefore, the progress of OTEC power generation is more
suitable for the regions with 20~25 ℃ of surface ocean water. In general, the
temperature of surface ocean water at southern and eastern waters of Taiwan is above
27 ℃ in summer and above 20 ℃ in winter, having sizable potential to exploit
OTEC power generation. Especially, eastern Taiwan where Kuroshio Current flows by and the waters topography is steep is a much better location
for OTEC power generation. The favorable geological environment makes Taiwan to have superiority
to European countries and Japan ,
which emphasize the exploitation of renewable energy, to actively tap such an
indigenous energy.
Apart from the excellences
of geographic environment, a few domestic researches indicate that Taiwan also possesses
enormous possibility for developing OTEC power generation. According to Table1,
it can be found that OTEC power generation, beside wind power generation, is
the best in the respect of both theoretical reserve and estimated exploitable amount. The theoretical reserve amount of OTEC
power generation can reach up to 30,000 MW and, based on the technique at that
time, the estimated exploitable amount is 3,000 MW. Considering 45,000 MW of total
electricity installation capacity in 2006 in Taiwan (The Bureau of Energy, 2007),
OTEC is able to be a domestic core type of power generation. In
addition, the temperature variation of surface ocean at the tropics as well as the
subtropics is quite minute in the whole year and almost equivalent all day long.
As compared to some power generation types such as solar energy, wind power and
wave energy, OTEC power generation is much more stable and has more annual
operating hours, leading to a reliable electricity supply. In case Taiwan is
capable of building a grazing OTEC power generation ship in the future, the promising
power plant sites will further locate on the whole tropical and subtropical
waters. It is estimated that, under no detrimental to environment, more than 10,000,000
MW electricity can be generated from the whole tropical along with subtropical
waters where the depth is beyond 1,000 meters and the monthly average temperature
difference is above 22℃ .
The electricity can be used to produce hydrogen, ammonia and methanol which may
be transported to Taiwan
for self-utilization or globally sold to other communities, playing a great positive
contribution to human energy problem. By contrast, the development of DOWA has
no benefit to national energy security. In case of applying DOW to air
conditioning and refrigeration, only the profit of energy saving can be
obtained but the profit is not significant because of little amount use of
ocean water.
Table1 The power
generation potential of renewable energy in Taiwan
Condition
Type
|
Natural
condition
|
Theoretical
reserve (MW)
|
Estimated
exploitable amount (MW)
|
Solar
|
Regions with annual 1,500 hrs
sunshine duration or more
|
30,000
|
300
|
Wind
|
Annual average wind speed 4m/s or more
|
21,100
|
3,000
|
Geothermal
|
26 geothermal hot spring areas
island-wide
|
1,000
|
200
|
Wave
|
1,448 km coast
island-wide
|
10,000
|
100
|
Tide
|
Coast
of western
|
1,000
|
10
|
OTEC
|
Coast
of eastern
|
30,000
|
3,000
|
Current
|
Kuroshio Current area of eastern
|
3,000
|
300
|
source:energy planning office,2006。
2.2 Environmental
protection
Since the Industrial
Revolution, various human activities have been increasing rapidly and
substantial amounts of resources and energies have been consumed, resulting in
exceeding greenhouse gases (GHG) to cause global warming and to damage human
life cycle. In order to develop sustainably and to create an excellent living
environment, environmental protection has become a global pursued goal and
concerned issue. After the Kyoto Protocol took effect on 16th February 2005 , in
particular, each country takes into account her own situation to adopt adequate
alternative to cope with the requirement of reducing carbon dioxide emission. Taiwan is not a
member of Kyoto Protocol but will undergo the impact of emission reduction in
the coming years. It is necessary to plan out a domestic strategy and measures relating
to GHG emission reduction. Taiwan
emits 1% of global carbon dioxide amount and most of the carbon dioxide is from
power generation. Provided that fossil fuel power generation is replaced by OTEC
power generation, GHG can be lessened drastically because OTEC power generation
is a kind of low-pollution renewable energy and is fuel-free. According to a foreign
literature (Daniel, 2008), a large-scale exploitation of OTEC has a bit of
influence on environment. The reasons include: OTEC is non-exothermic;
Engineering techniques can prevent the carbon dioxide dissolved in deep and
surface ocean water from releasing to atmosphere; As compared to the system of fossil
fuel power generation, OTEC power generation only produces little amount of GHG. Another
reference (Ocean Engineering and Energy Systems International [OCEES], 2008)
also indicates that OTEC merely consumes thermal energy stored in the surface
of tropical oceans and even ocean thermal energy used extensively by human beings
is still very tiny (less than 0.1%). As a result, OTEC power generation will
not change the variation of global energy; instead, will significantly reduce
the emissions of carbon dioxide, carbon monoxide, particle carbon, nitrogen oxides and sulfur oxides. It not
only alleviates global warming, but also diminishes smog as well as acid rain. Additionally,
the replacement of fossil fuel by OTEC power generation is certainly able to
lower the emission of carbon dioxide. Taking the exploitable 3,000 MW of Taiwan’s
adjacent waters as an example, the annual electricity is estimated to be 18 TWh
if the capacity factor of OTEC power plant is 0.7. In accordance with 0.62 kg/KWh
of CO2 emission factor resulting from the 2005 data of domestic
electricity, 18 TWh means the reduction of 11 million tons carbon dioxide. It provides
a great benefit for the reduction of carbon dioxide.
On the other hand, the
exploitation of renewable energy requires vast spaces. Taiwan has a dense
population and small area; therefore, the large scale exploitation of renewable
energy on land often results in negative impacts on human inhabitation
environment and severe conflicts with human life circle. Since the large scale
OTEC power generation which does not occupy land space can eliminate the
contact opportunity with human environment and may reduce the
development obstacles from the general public, it is suitable for Taiwan where
lands are of treasure. If DOWA is regarded as a main development target, by
contrast, its process of pumping and discharging water is similar with that of OTEC
power generation, leading to the same influences on environment. However,
environmental disputes are easy to occur because the relevant facilities have
to be mounted on land. The literature(Daniel, 2008)addresses that air conditioning is one of the
application approaches with preferred economic benefits. The chilly seawater
can cool down fresh water in a heat exchanger or directly flows into an adequate
chilled water loop, efficiently replacing the chiller which may consume over
90% energy in the traditional air conditioning system. Such systems have been
applied to Natural Energy Laboratory of Hawaii Authority (NELHA) for several
years and then save $US 4,000 electricity costs each month. Furthermore, it can
also be applied to a number of industries, such as condenser cooling for distillation processes, removal of
moist and carbon dioxide
during drying of algal products, and refrigeration and freezing systems. However,
the adequate plant sites are so limited in Taiwan that the benefit of energy
saving is restricted and the derived environmental benefit is much inferior to
OTEC power generation.
2.3 Industrial
economics
The economic factor is
one of the main considerations for various countries to undertake the
exploitation of renewable energy. All of the previous global studies show that the
cost of OTEC power generation is higher than that of conventional energy so as to
lose economic competition. Whether OTEC energy can be successively tapped is
dependent on if it can be commercialized or not. The core factors affecting
commercialization include other energy price, environmental protection
pressure, technical improvement, natural condition, power plant scale, market
demand, and so on. The international oil price has been raised from 10.37 US $/barrel to 64.67
US$/barrel in the periods of January 1999 and June 2006, further above 100 US$/barrel in January
2008 and approaching 150 US$/barrel in July 2008. Such is
beneficial to the exploitation of OTEC power generation. The effectiveness of the
Kyoto Protocol results in more and more pressure of environmental protection onto
various countries. The implementation of reducing carbon dioxide emission will
significantly increase the external cost of power generation by fossil fuel and
then further diminish the cost gap between the power
generation from fossil fuel and OTEC. In light of techniques, the power
generation cost will also be reduced with the improvement and advancement
relating to the equipments as well as the techniques of OTEC power generation.
As to natural conditions, Taiwan
is very close to the “Warming Pool” where ocean water has the global highest
temperature. In addition, waters topography
at eastern Taiwan
is steep and ocean depth can be 1,000 meters only away from coast 3 to 6
kilometers. This may shorten the required length of cold water pipe and then
lower the exploitation cost. Taking into account power plant scale, prior
experimental power plants generally are so tiny that the cost of power
generation is too expensive. After the commercial operation of large plants in
the future, it can drive the development of relevant industries
and then decrease its cost. In case of using grazing OTEC ships, power plants
can be set up at regions with higher temperature difference to enhance the dynamic
thermal efficiency and a number of energies such as hydrogen can be produced
and sold globally. In view of market demand, according to the survey of the United Nations Educational Scientific and Cultural Organization (Ho, 2003), the global reserve
of ocean energy is 73.6 TW where OTEC is around 40 TW. The estimation of the International
Energy Agency is the power generation amount of global OTEC can be 10,000 TWh /y (International
Energy Agency [IEA], 2006). In summary, the global OTEC reserve is
enormous and it can form a huge industrial market.
Based on the 18 TWh of
estimated annual OTEC electricity in Taiwan as mentioned above and the
replacement of one KWh by 0.2484 liter oil equivalent, it can save 4-billion
expenditure for purchasing oil based on the calculation by 140 US$/barrel of
oil price in July 2008. This does not include the profits of carbon trading resulting
from reducing carbon dioxide emission and the profits from the relevant OTEC industries.
In respect of domestic DOW development, western Taiwan has no development
conditions due to insufficient ocean depth and serious human pollution. Because
of the pass of Kuroshio Current and the location
at the origin of upwelling, eastern Taiwan oceans has excellent
development conditions and DOW can be obtained at a very short distance away
from the coast. It is estimated by the Water Resources Agency of the Ministry
of Economic Affairs that DOWA production values will be increased annually from
NT$ 2 billions and will be more than NT$ 18 billions in the future. If the
industry keeps on growing and extends to biotechnology, cosmetic,
temperature-controlled exquisite agriculture, and recreation as
well as tourism, production values can even achieve NT$ 80 billions or
more (Lo,2008).
However, the required techniques for DOWA are not advanced and it has to
compete with many countries such as the the USA , Japan and Korea ,
different from OTEC power generation which Taiwan possesses geological and
technical advantages.
2.4 Engineering technology
Although OTEC power
generation has been developed for a long time, there is no commercial operation
power plant in the world. The further improvement for engineering technique is
one of the main reasons. Foreign researches address that the toughest problem
is the fabrication as well as deployment of cold water pipes. With reference to the research
results conducted by Taiwan power company and the Bureau of Energy in the past
years, the technical problems that have to be overcome in the development of
OTEC power generation include the manufacture, construction as well as
maintenance techniques of large cold water pipes, and the impact on the power
plants safety resulting from typhoons along with earthquakes. In
2001 Sinoteck
Engineering Consultants, Ltd. executed a project associated with the
utilization of OTEC power generation which was sponsored by the Bureau of
Energy. Some key technical data of OTEC power generation were collected,
evaluated and confirmed. Then the sites of prospective power plants were
surveyed on the basis of their relevant characteristics. After determining the
optimal sites along with the specific key techniques, researchers made the
planning as well as conceptualization design in terms of pilot experimental
plants, and then executed the study on the economic feasibility, engineering
feasibility, risk evaluation and environmental impact. The project reports are
one of the art-of-the-state and more replete reports in Taiwan . The
research conclusions are (Sinoteck Engineering Consultants, Ltd., 2002b): domestic
industrial companies and academic institutes are able to implement the survey
of ocean environment; domestic shipbuilding industrial companies may import the
design and fabrication technologies of floating platform by cooperating with
foreign countries; domestic industrial companies have sufficient competences to
individually perform the marine construction of power plants; domestic
industrial companies are able to provide the apparatus and system elements of
what the power generation needs; domestic companies could produce the undersea
pipelines materials used commonly; and domestic excavation
techniques for land-based power plants were fully mature. The conclusion of
ITRI (2006) based on the analysis of preliminary feasibility study and
development priority for exploiting various ocean energies in Taiwan was:
among all of the power generation techniques for ocean energies, OTEC is the
most suitable one in Taiwan .
One of the reasons was that the relevant technologies were well-established in
the world and Taiwan
had technical competences to carry on such technologies. Moreover, the Energy Program Office of the Science & Technology Policy Research and Information Center ,
National Applied Research Laboratories performed the staff work of the Energy Policy and Technology Development Steering Group
of Executive Yuan by contracting with National Science Council in 2006. The
office organized several seminars to invite domestic experts from the industry,
government and academia to discuss the feasibility for developing OTEC power
generation in Taiwan ,
and the encountered problems together with their countermeasures. For example,
the discussed problems are related to the fabrication, construction as well as maintenance of deep ocean intake
pipe and so on. The main conclusions of these seminars were that Taiwan has
already possessed the relevant R&D competence as well as industry
infrastructure, and other immature technologies could be reinforced by the
global technology collaboration as well as by in search of global funding
support (Energy Program Office, 2007).
The foreign
information (OCEES, 2008) shows that the equipments and techniques of OTEC
power generation have been improved in recent years. For instance, the
development of the Kalina Cycle clearly exhibits superior efficiency to the previous
closed cycle system and the Kalina Cycle used by traditional power plants and
steel plants has an excellent availability and reliability. Moreover, heat exchangers
with higher efficiency and heat exchangers with better inhibition to
bio-fouling and corrosion are produced. The design and deployment method for
cold water pipe with advanced reliability in terms of open cycle OTEC turbine
is also established. In addition, the drilling platform for exploring petroleum
at the water depth of more than 3,000 feet can be adopted for the design of
floating OTEC power plant in the future. In Taiwan , ITRI commenced the study of
first domestic OTEC power generation experimental system with small scale as
well as low temperature in 2006 and has successfully produced electricity. As
compared to OTEC power generation, DOWA consumes much less cold water, uses smaller
cold water pipes, and pumps more shallow seawater. Therefore, the needed engineering
techniques for DOWA, currently having been commercialized, are simpler and
maturer than these of OTEC power generation.
3. Summary and Suggestions
In summary, the
development benefits of OTEC power generation in Taiwan are much superior to DOWA in
terms of energy security and environmental protection. In respect of industrial
economy, DOWA has higher production values in a short-term period but, for a
long-term period, the commercial operation of large-scale OTEC power plant will
result in better direct and indirect production values. Regarding engineering
techniques, they are far more complicated and difficult for OTEC power
generation than DOWA. Although they have been improved with respect to power
systems, heat exchangers, cold water pipes, and the design as well as
construction of operation platforms, invested R&D resources are still
needed to solve technical problems and to enhance economic competition.
On July 7, 2008 the G8 Summit was held in
Hokkaido,
Japan
and global warming and high oil price became the most concerned issues for the member
representatives. Under the new situations of energy, environment and economy, Taiwan should hold
a different concept in terms of energy policy to emphasize the balance progress
of 3E. They are expected that the ratio of national independent energy is effectively
increased to enhance energy security; national GHG emission is substantially
reduced to cope with the Kyoto Protocol, and national trillion energy industry
is actively established to develop green economy. Literature (Hsu and Yen, 2007) demonstrates that the
termination of OTEC research or construction programs for most countries is
subject to financial insufficiency as well as poor economic benefits, and
technical problems are not unsolvable difficulties. Since the status quo of energy, environment and economy is
quite different from that of 1990s, it is necessary to reconsider the
feasibility and integrated benefits of OTEC power generation. Until
now there is no commercial OTEC power plant in the whole world and the
industrial market has not yet been monopolized by some advanced countries.
Provided that Taiwan
can make an arrangement effort in advance to master some key technologies, it
will be easy to establish such a niche industry and to occupy a leading and important
seat in the global OTEC-related industry in the future. Based on Taiwan ’s
natural conditions and her demand to indigenous energy, it is proposed that Taiwan should implement OTEC
R&D which majors in power generation. It has better set a development goal first
and then invest R&D resources, organize research teams, execute integrated
programs and offset Taiwan ’s
technical insufficiency by international cooperation. Once having strong technical
confidence and economic competition, Taiwan can build commercial OTEC
power plants.
References
ITRI. (2006). Development of
Numerical Techniques for Estimating Ocean Energy Distribution and Assessment of
Exploitation. (in Chinese). HsinChu: ITRI.
Sinoteck Engineering
Consultants, Ltd.. (2002a). The Evaluation Report on the Feasibility of Key Technology as well as Conceptualization
Design and the Suggestion of Optimal Adoption in Taiwan related to OTEC Power
Generation . (in Chinese). Taipei :
Sinoteck
Engineering Consultants, Ltd..
Sinoteck Engineering
Consultants, Ltd.. (2002a). The Evaluation Report on the Supply Ability of Industrial Systematic
Elements in Taiwan
related to OTEC Power Generation in 2002. (in Chinese). Taipei : Sinoteck Engineering Consultants, Ltd..
Ho, C.L.. (2003). The
Introduction of Tide Power Generation. Energy Monthly. April, 2003. (in
Chinese).
Lin, J.R. and H.P. Tsai (1989). The system development technique of low temperature and small scale
Rankine cycle. (in Chinese). Science
monthly, 0237.
Hsu, B.H. and C.W. Yen (1989). Introduction to the development prospect of ocean energy in Taiwan. (in Chinese). Science monthly,
0237.
EPO. (2006). 2006 National
Energy Technology Development Project. (in Chinese). Unpublished. Taipei : STPI.
EPO. (2007). The Report of
Energy Program Office Expansion Project. (in Chinese). Unpublished. Taipei : STPI.
Kuo, C.R., B.H. Hsu, A.K. Tseng, and Y.C. Lee. (1989). The system development technique of low
temperature and small scale Rankine cycle. (in Chinese). Science monthly, 0237.
Liang, N.G. (1989). The history,
status quo and prospect of OTEC power generation. (in Chinese). Science monthly,
0237.
BOE. (2007). The Energy
Situation in Taiwan ,
Republic of China
(in Chinese). Retrieved September, 2007, from http://www.moeaboe.gov.tw/
Lai, C.I. (2008). The Input Analysis of Ocean
Thermal Energy Conversion R&D Projects in Taiwan
(in Chinese). Sei-Tech
Policy Review, 3. 99-103.
Lo, A.Y. (2008). The Blue Gold of 21 Century - Deep Ocean
Water Industry (in Chinese). Sei-Tech Policy Review, 2,106-109.
Daniel, T. H. (2008). Ocean thermal energy
conversion: An extensive, environmentally benign source of energy for the
future. Retrieved June,
30, 2008 from http://www.sustdev.org/energy/articles/energy/edition3/SDI3-10.pdf
IEA. (2006). Review and analysis of ocean energy
systems development and supporting policies. Retrieved September, 2007,
from http://www.iea-oceans.org/_fich/6/Review_Policies_on_OES_2.pdf
OCEES International, Inc. (2008). Ocean
engineering and energy systems. Retrieved June, 30, 2008 from
http://www.ocees.com/mainpages/otec.html
沒有留言:
張貼留言